Along the Tracks

Saturday, July 15, 2006

Crank up the worry dial

Israel reportedly has identified the mode of attack on one of its ships in the Mediterranean off Lebanon. It was not a drone aircraft, as originally thought. It was an Iranian surface-to-ship missile which requires a certain amount of technical expertise. Israel is accusing Iran of direct involvement in this new war with Hezbollah.

The pieces are all in place for a response against Iranian soil by Israel.

The "Archduke Ferdinand" comparison is looking quite apt right now, as diplomats struggle to catch up with events and get the fighting to stop. A key to any ceasefire is both sides wanting at least a momentary break in fighting. Unfortunately, Hezbollah, Hamas, Syria and Iran want to press forward. All Israel can really do is respond forcefully - anything else invites even bolder moves by Syria, Iran and their proxies.

I would say the next 48 hours will tell the tale of whether this flareup can be halted or at least held in check - or if it becomes a full-fledged, muti-nation Mideast War.

The United States military, of course, sits right in the middle, still battling to secure Iraq.

Anxious times ....

(0) comments